UN warns global temperatures likely near records through 2030
The World Meteorological Organization said global average temperatures are likely to remain at or near record levels through 2030, with a 75 percent chance that the 2026–2030 five-year mean will exceed 1.5C above the 1850–1900 pre-industrial average. The WMO assigned an 86 percent chance that one year between 2026 and 2030 will surpass 2024 as the warmest year, and a 91 percent chance that at least one year will temporarily exceed 1.5C; predicted annual temperatures range from 1.3C to 1.9C above pre-industrial levels. The outlook, compiled by Britain’s Met Office and 13 institutes, also notes an El Nino late in 2026 that raises 2027 risks, forecasts wet anomalies in the Sahel and dry anomalies over the Amazon, and predicts Arctic winters about 2.8C above 1991–2020 averages.
2026–2030 five-year mean likely above 1.5C.
背景
Global warming has set recent records, with the 11 hottest years since 2015. The WMO…
完整分析
关于这篇报道的 19 个维度 — 全球影响、市场解读,以及接下来会发生什么。
- 完整背景已锁定
- 受影响行业已锁定
- 股市影响已锁定
- 经济指标Higher near-term food-price volatility…已锁定
- 投资者相关性已锁定
- 职业相关性已锁定
- 关注要点Official El Niño confirmation and…已锁定
- 变化概率已锁定
- 争议焦点Whether temporary breaches of 1.5C…已锁定
- 历史相似案例Recent pattern of record warmth since…已锁定
- 前置知识已锁定
- 后续问题Will the predicted El Nino at the end…已锁定
- 利弊分析Policymakers: can plan because WMO…已锁定